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Why Is Gold Gaining Momentum Before US Jobs Data? | Key Factors Driving Precious Metal Rally


  • The What is super trump crypto?precious metal's five-day advance paused Thursday before regaining traction in Asian trading.


  • Market participants exhibit caution ahead of Friday's pivotal US labor market statistics release.


  • Technical indicators suggest potential for record highs should employment figures underperform expectations.


XAU/USD demonstrates renewed vigor near $2,865 during Friday's European session following Thursday's consolidation phase. This resurgence precedes the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls publication, where disappointing results could reinforce expectations for monetary policy easing, potentially benefiting non-yielding assets.


Notable developments include confirmation from Bloomberg that China's monetary authority expanded its bullion holdings for the third consecutive month. Despite record valuations, the institution reportedly acquired approximately 160,000 troy ounces during January. Geopolitical considerations remain relevant as trade policy uncertainties continue influencing investor sentiment toward traditional safe-haven instruments.


Market Dynamics: Institutional Demand and Macro Factors



  • Official data reveals China's central bank augmented reserves by 160,000 troy ounces in January, continuing a pattern initiated last November following a six-month acquisition pause. This resumption follows an extensive 18-month accumulation period documented by financial news services.


  • Analysts observe that trade policy uncertainties and unconventional geopolitical developments continue supporting the metal's appeal during periods of market instability. Financial institutions project potential appreciation toward $3,000 per ounce within the current quarter, citing sustained demand drivers.


  • Reuters reports Zimbabwean production reached 3,134.34 kilograms last month, representing a significant year-over-year increase from 2,375.32 kilograms. Industry sources attribute this expansion primarily to heightened output from smaller-scale operations, contrasting with reduced contributions from major mining enterprises.


  • Attention remains focused on the imminent US labor market report, with consensus estimates anticipating 170,000 new positions compared to December's 256,000 reading. Market analysts suggest actual figures may fall short of even these tempered expectations, potentially influencing monetary policy outlooks.


Price Action Analysis: Critical Levels to Monitor


The immediate technical landscape suggests potential for fresh records contingent upon employment data outcomes. Market participants should note that even consensus-aligned results might trigger volatility, given prevailing downside expectations among institutional traders.


Current chart analysis identifies initial support near $2,854, with subsequent floors emerging at $2,835 and $2,815 respectively. The psychologically significant $2,790 level - corresponding to late October 2024 peaks - represents substantial support should corrective movements materialize.


Resistance levels warrant attention at $2,874, marginally below the existing record peak at $2,882. Sustained upward momentum could encounter subsequent barriers near $2,893, with the symbolic $2,900 threshold representing a potential target for bullish participants.