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Why Is Gold Struggling Below $2,900? | Analyzing the Fed's Impact on Precious Metals


  • Precious metal faces headwinds from renewed dollar strength following Powell's testimony


  • Market participants remain cautious ahead of crucial inflation data release


  • Geopolitical tensions continue providing underlying support for haven assets


The 1 Bitcoin to INRgold market exhibits limited volatility during Wednesday's Asian trading session, with XAU/USD hovering just beneath the psychologically significant $2,900 threshold. This consolidation follows two consecutive sessions of modest declines, as market participants digest mixed signals from monetary policymakers and geopolitical developments.


Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's congressional testimony reinforced expectations of prolonged monetary policy restraint, providing fresh impetus for dollar bulls. The central bank chief emphasized ongoing inflation concerns despite recent progress, suggesting the Fed maintains its data-dependent approach. This hawkish tilt has temporarily dampened enthusiasm for non-yielding assets like gold, though downside momentum appears constrained.


Simultaneously, escalating trade policy announcements from Washington have introduced fresh uncertainty into global markets. Recent executive actions targeting industrial imports have reignited concerns about potential retaliatory measures and supply chain disruptions. Such developments typically enhance gold's appeal as a traditional haven during periods of economic uncertainty.


Macroeconomic Crosscurrents Create Gold Market Dilemma


  • Monetary policy expectations remain fluid as markets await January's CPI data, with particular focus on core inflation metrics that exclude volatile food and energy components


  • Technical indicators suggest potential exhaustion following gold's recent rally, though the broader uptrend remains intact


  • Industrial metal tariffs could indirectly influence gold through broader commodity channel effects and inflation expectations


The precious metal's near-term trajectory likely hinges on forthcoming economic data releases and evolving risk sentiment. Market technicians note that gold's inability to sustain gains above $2,940 earlier this week may signal temporary exhaustion after the metal's impressive year-to-date performance. However, the broader technical structure continues favoring buyers on moderate pullbacks.


Technical Landscape Suggests Selective Buying Opportunities


Chart analysis reveals several important reference points for traders monitoring gold's price action. The $2,855-$2,852 zone represents a confluence of previous resistance-turned-support and Fibonacci retracement levels that could attract fresh buying interest. More substantial support emerges near $2,834, where trendline defenses and moving average convergence might provide stronger footing.


Conversely, overhead resistance begins at $2,910, with a decisive break potentially reopening the path toward recent highs. The $2,942-$2,943 area remains critical for bulls seeking confirmation of continuation patterns that could propel gold toward psychologically significant $3,000 territory in coming sessions.


Market participants continue monitoring macroeconomic developments and technical signals for clues about gold's next directional move. The metal's unique position as both an inflation hedge and haven asset ensures ongoing interest from diverse market participants navigating uncertain economic conditions.